Five years ago, August 2015, I published my post “12 tips for leading in a downturn”. It was a collection of tips after having seen various management reactions to a slowdown, downturn, crisis, recession, that appeared in series from 2000 onwards. July 2020, France is officially out of its general lockdown and faces the aftermath … Continue reading 12 tips for leading in a downturn, COVID reloaded – Part 1/3
I happen to hear a Robotic Process Automation (RPA) vendor's pitch and he was speaking in cause-and-effect, demonstrating how RPA will not destroy jobs, but on the contrary create more jobs than it destroys. The occasion was too good not to try it, therefore, in this episode of my Critical Thinking playlist, I am: translating … Continue reading Negative Branches in a Logic Tree, how things can go unexpectedly wrong
Bill Dettmer, the “father” of the Goal Tree keeps repeating “A Goal Tree well-built remains valid until the business environment changes or the way the organization is doing business changes significantly". Indeed, in times of instability and disruptions, business owners or CEOs may feel that some significant change happened in business requiring to rebuild a … Continue reading Goal Tree Chronicles – Your Current Reality changed, not your Goal
In this video I invite you to follow my presentation of an existing (already built) Current Reality Tree (CRT) and check its logical soundness, what we call scrutinizing. Should you find any flaw of logic, you may share it whether in the comments of this blog or on my YouTube channel.
I once happen to see a Current Reality Tree cluttered with “coulds” and “shoulds”. Conditional or tentative language cannot be used with logic trees and here is why. Cause-and-effect (sufficiency logic) The Logical Thinking Process logic trees use either sufficiency or necessity logic. Sufficiency or cause-and-effect relationship states that a cause, if it exists, is … Continue reading Why you cannot use tentative language in a logic tree
Here is a reader's question: I have difficulty seeing the difference between the Goal Tree and the Current Reality Tree (CRT). With these two trees we assess the process. What are the main differences between the two? The Goal Tree and Current Reality Tree (CRT) have nothing in common. They are not even meant to care … Continue reading Reader question: Goal Tree vs. Current Reality Tree
In this video, I scrutinize and suggest improvements on a Current Reality Tree (CRT) found on the Internet. A logically sound CRT is key to convince audience about the robustness of the analysis and the reality of the causes to the trouble. If there is room for doubt or the logical has flaws, chances are … Continue reading Scrutinizing and improving a Current Reality Tree (video tutorial)
It happens often with methods and tools that look simple: people giving it a try think they master the subject when in reality they more or less failed with their trial. It is not different with the Logical Thinking Process. The Current Reality Tree is maybe one of the logic trees the most attractive to … Continue reading Beware of the Logical Thinking Process apparent simplicity
Paris June 28th, 2017. The 6-day Logical Thinking Process Training Course with Bill Dettmer is just over. We asked the participants not in a hurry to rush to an airport or train station if they would share their thoughts about the course in front of a camcorder? Cédric, Sverre and Leo were so kind. Bill … Continue reading What advice to people wanting to experience the Logical Thinking Process Training Course?
In this excerpt of day one from the 6-day Logical Thinking Process training course, Bill Dettmer explains that the very front end, the two first tools (Goal Tree and Current Reality Tree) are deterministic, based on facts. The other steps and tools are about future, which can only be based on probabilities. At the end … Continue reading Limits of Logical Thinking Process